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Coronavirus: Covid-19 outbreak ‘levelling off in US’

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Cases in hot spots like New York appear to be levelling off, experts say

Experts on the White House Covid-19 taskforce say the coronavirus outbreak is starting to level off across the US.

Dr Deborah Birx said there were good signs the outbreak was stabilising, but cautioned: “As encouraging as they are, we have not reached the peak.”

President Donald Trump also said he expects the US to see a lower death toll than the initial predictions of 100,000 fatalities.

The US has over 475,000 confirmed cases and nearly 18,000 deaths so far.

Dr Anthony Fauci, US infectious diseases chief, concurred that the US is “starting to see the levelling off and coming down” of cases and deaths, but added that despite the “important advance”, mitigation efforts such as social distancing should not be pulled back yet.

Dr Birx noted that the rate of increase appears to be stabilising in hard-hit regions like New York, New Jersey and the city of Chicago.

She added that the US mortality rate is “significantly less than many of the other countries, when you correct them for our population”.

But she emphasised the nation had yet to see the peak of the outbreak. “We need to continue to do what we did yesterday, and the week before, and the week before that because that’s what, in the end, is going to take us up across the peak and down the other side.”

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Washington state has predicted the nation’s death count will peak on Friday and then begin declining.

On Friday, the governor of New York – the global epicentre of the virus – said the latest data shows that the state is successfully “flattening the curve”.

Despite 777 new deaths in New York on Thursday, patients requiring ICU hospital stays had gone down for the first time since the crisis began.

“Even though it’s a grind, even though it’s difficult, we have to stay with it,” Governor Andrew Cuomo said, cautioning that it was still to early to relax social distancing measures.

Earlier in the day, Dr Fauci told CNN officials are currently discussing whether to adopt immunity certificates for Americans who have safely survived the coronavirus and have antibodies in their blood to prove it.

The certificates might “have some merit under certain circumstances”, he said, adding that antibody tests would be available next week.

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